There are several aspects of this game that are being analyzed, synthesized, debated, argued, proclaimed, and several other words that are above my IQ level. Such aspects would be:
1. Can UK keep Florida from having success behind the 3-pt line?
2. Can UK's post players come up big on the defensive end - blocked shots, keeping Young and Yguette off the offensive boards
3. Will UK have success scoring in the post? Both from their post-players, but also with mis-matchs
Florida, with SEVERAL minutes being played by Boyton, Walker, and Beal - are subject to mis-matchs when UK goes "big". If you have Jones, Davis, Miller, Kidd-Gilchrist, and Teague/Lamb on the court....who guards Miller? Kidd-Gilchrist?
With that said, Florida goes 2-3 zone 85% of the night. Can they keep UK from getting 15+ offensive rebounds? I doubt it.
HOWEVER, this BIG aspect of tonight's game, what UK fan's REALLY need to look at, is Teague's turnover-assist ratio....
Teague has struggled to impress, at least consistently, this season. He's had some solid games, but usually he has solid halves (2nd half vs IU). Rarely, in my opinion, has he put together solid, 35-40 minute, games.
Tonight will be a legit test. It's not a non-con game against IU or Kansas, this game is a HUGE step in this team achieving its goal of being SEC champs.
In my opinion, Teague doesn't really need to score a single bucket (except free throws late in the game, if it comes to it).
However, he needs 4 assists per every turnover he commits. If we're getting 8 points per 1 turnover, UK can win with that. Anything lower than 8 points and UK is in serious jeopardy.
IF Florida plays their 2-3 zone, then Teague cannot afford to turn the ball over. Zones aren't typically designed to force turnovers, and he needs to remember that. He needs to be, what I like to call, aggressively patient. UK needs Teague to be aggressive, but he needs to be patient in his attacks. He can't attack attack attack....he's got to see the court, see the numbers, know the situations, and sense the flow of the game.
He needs to push the ball in transition WHEN the advantage is there. He needs to attack the gaps in the zone WHEN there are gaps, not trying to create his own gaps, but taking what the defense gives him.
If Teague can play aggressively patient, and he can keep is turnover-to-assist ratio at no worse than 1:4, then UK will win this game.
Anything else, well....it should be an exciting game!